Filipe B. Caires

Filipe B. Caires

PhD Candidate in Economics

European Unversity Institute

Welcome!

I am a PhD candidate in Economics at the European University Institute, in Florence, Italy. In my research, I apply microeconometric methods to study policy-relevant questions. I am most interested in labour and public economics. I work under the supervision of Andrea Ichino and Thomas Crossley.

During my PhD, I visited HEC Montréal and served as an economist for half year at the Directorate for Employment, Labour, and Social Affairs at the OECD. As a result, I am part of the LinkEED 2.0 research network.

Interests
  • Labour Economics
  • Public Economics
  • Causal Inference
Education
  • PhD in Economics, 2026 (Expected)

    European University Institute

  • MRes in Economics, 2021

    European University Institute

  • MSc in Economics, 2018

    Nova School of Business and Economics

  • BSc in Economics, 2016

    Nova School of Business and Economics

Research

Internal Organization of Firms and Minimum Wage Spillovers

This paper provides empirical evidence that firms’ internal organization and associated pay policies shape the propagation of minimum wage spillovers. Rigid, tournament-like firms use between-level pay differentials to incentivize workers and respond to minimum wage hikes by raising wages up the hierarchy, amplifying spillovers. Flexible firms rely more on individual wage-setting and can limit spillovers. Using rich administrative employer-employee data from Portugal, I construct measures of firm rigidity to examine how organizational structure shapes the strength of spillovers. Spillovers from the minimum wage reach the 47th percentile of the wage distribution, and represent around 40% of the direct effect on minimum wage workers. I show that spillovers are up to 40% stronger in rigid firms. I build a simple model of firm organization and pay policies that helps rationalize these findings. The result has broad implications for a wide range of shocks that shift relative pay within firms.
Presented at: EUI; OECD; SciencesPo; HEC Montreal; McGill University

Contract Splitting in Public Procurement

w/ Susana Peralta and Diogo Mendes
This paper studies contract splitting - the act of splitting contracts into multiple smaller ones - as a mechanism of manipulation in public procurement. Leveraging the procurement administrative registry in Portugal and exploiting a reform that lowered discretion thresholds, we find that contract splitting is the main mechanism of manipulation. Buyers split to circumvent competitive requirements, more so for goods and services than for less divisible construction works. We discuss the implications of contract splitting for commonly used bunching estimators, documenting the existence of a splitting-induced bias.
Presented at: ISEG Lisbon Micro Group Lisbon; EUI; Utrecht USE Workshop on Lobbying and Political Influence; UniTo-CCA PhD Workshop in Economics

Survival of the Fittest: Tourism Exposure and Firm Survival

w/ Hugo Reis and Paulo M. M. Rodrigues. (Pre-PhD Work)
This article estimates a discrete-time proportional hazards model to study firm survival in thte Portuguese Tourism sector. While tourism is among the most volatile sectors in times of uncertainty, tourism-associated firms are remarkably resilient.

Teaching

Microeconomics III - Information Economics and Social Choice

PhD in Economics EUI · Spring 2024
TA to Andrea Mattozzi

Statistics and Econometrics II - Econometrics of Microdata

PhD in Economics EUI · Fall 2022
TA to Sule Alan and Tom Crossley

Microeconometrics

MSc in Economics CATOLICA-LISBON · Spring 2020
Grader to Pedro Raposo

Econometrics II

MSc in Economics CATOLICA-LISBON · Fall 2018 to Spring 2020
TA and Grader to Hugo Reis

Economics of Education

MSc in Economics CATOLICA-LISBON · Fall 2018 to Spring 2020
TA and Grader to Hugo Reis

Contact